Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.004531 0.005108 0.005763 0.006566 0.007536 0.008682 0.010155
2026-01-04 0.003766 0.004503 0.005415 0.006648 0.008314 0.010549 0.013892
2026-01-11 0.003272 0.004063 0.005097 0.006593 0.008782 0.012021 0.017509
2026-01-18 0.002951 0.003773 0.004895 0.006608 0.009292 0.013621 0.021872
2026-01-25 0.002660 0.003476 0.004627 0.006458 0.009490 0.014745 0.025858
2026-02-01 0.002394 0.003179 0.004315 0.006182 0.009408 0.015340 0.029057
2026-02-08 0.002172 0.002922 0.004031 0.005902 0.009257 0.015752 0.032048
2026-02-15 0.002062 0.002820 0.003968 0.005970 0.009734 0.017528 0.039427
2026-02-22 0.001928 0.002668 0.003810 0.005853 0.009832 0.018529 0.045383
2026-03-01 0.001801 0.002516 0.003637 0.005685 0.009798 0.019218 0.050928
2026-03-08 0.001695 0.002390 0.003496 0.005557 0.009821 0.020052 0.057752
2026-03-15 0.001654 0.002362 0.003514 0.005725 0.010507 0.022837 0.075495
2026-03-22 0.001617 0.002346 0.003560 0.005976 0.011492 0.027086 0.109022
2026-03-29 0.001554 0.002281 0.003517 0.006045 0.012085 0.030557 0.148739
2026-04-05 0.001479 0.002192 0.003423 0.005997 0.012371 0.033199 0.193074
2026-04-12 0.001421 0.002126 0.003362 0.006010 0.012826 0.036795 0.267041
2026-04-19 0.001349 0.002032 0.003243 0.005879 0.012854 0.038745 0.337299
2026-04-26 0.001270 0.001920 0.003082 0.005636 0.012514 0.038944 0.385048
2026-05-03 0.001196 0.001815 0.002926 0.005390 0.012122 0.038755 0.429535
2026-05-10 0.001164 0.001781 0.002904 0.005450 0.012671 0.043556 0.679967
2026-05-17 0.001115 0.001715 0.002817 0.005347 0.012687 0.045679 0.917813
2026-05-24 0.001065 0.001645 0.002716 0.005199 0.012533 0.046801 1.174749
2026-05-31 0.001023 0.001585 0.002632 0.005086 0.012473 0.048517 1.610292